CONMEBOL Libertadores, Group H · Round 2

Libertad

Rosario Central
Libertad aims to consolidate advantage in Libertadores Group H against Rosario Central
With a 48.8% chance of victory, the host seeks to leave the danger zone and climb the table
On April 15 at 10 p.m., Libertad will host Rosario Central in a match still without a set stadium, for the second round of Libertadores Group H. The clash carries extra weight: the Paraguayan side wants to secure three points to escape the late‑qualification zone, while the Argentine side is still looking to bounce back after an uneven start.
O que está em jogo
The competition is in its early stages, but the qualification picture is already taking shape. Libertad have three points but still sit second in the group, behind LDU, which also has three. Rosario Central, with nothing on the board, need points to avoid being stuck at the bottom of the table, where pressure mounts each round.
Win Probability
48.8%Libertad
22.8%Rosario CentralComo os times chegam
Libertad’s recent record does not inspire confidence: four defeats and only one win in their last five fixtures, including narrow losses to Universidad Central (1‑3) and Cerro Porteño (2‑3). Rosario Central, by contrast, have a more balanced ledger, with two wins, one draw and two losses, highlighted by victories over Atlético Tucumán (2‑1) and Banfield (2‑1). Both sides show defensive vulnerabilities, but the Argentine club has been converting chances into goals.
Recent Form
Libertad
Rosario Central
Análise tática
Tactically, Libertad should look for solidity at home, although the numbers indicate that the risk of slipping is still real, with a 28.4% chance of a draw. Rosario Central may rely on quick transitions, as they did against Independiente del Valle, which ended goalless. The visitor’s probability of winning stands at 22.8%, but a strong defensive posture could make a draw the most viable option for both teams.
Season Averages
Match overview
Shots
Standings
| Pos | Team | J | V | E | D | GP | GC | SG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Rivadavia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 1 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 1 | Universidad Central | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 1 | LDU | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 1 | Corinthians | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 1 | Club Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 1 | Flamengo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Estudiantes de La Plata | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Mirassol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Coquimbo Unido | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Deportivo La Guaira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Peñarol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Independiente del Valle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Independiente Medellín | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Universidad Católica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | CA Lanús | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 3 | Independiente Santa Fe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Junior Barranquilla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Libertad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 | Cerro Porteño | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Bolívar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Platense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 | Universitario de Deportes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC Guayaquil | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Club Always Ready | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Cusco FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Goals by Minute Range
O cenário da partida
With a slight statistical edge for the host, the game has all the ingredients to be contested at both ends of the pitch. If Libertad can impose their rhythm and exploit the home factor, they have a good chance of taking all three points and climbing the standings. On the other hand, Rosario Central are motivated to escape the disadvantage zone, and a positive result could change the campaign’s trajectory. The duel promises to be a test of endurance and strategy for the two clubs still seeking to define their paths in the Libertadores.
Top Scorers
Libertad
Rosario Central