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Ligue 1 · Round 30

VS
Sun, 04/19 · 03:15 PM
Sunday, April 19, 202603:15 PM

RC Strasbourg tries to climb the table and close the gap to the G-6 against Stade Rennais

Home team arrives with 43 points and seeks crucial point to get closer to the top eight, while the visitor tries to consolidate sixth place

On Sunday afternoon (19/04), RC Strasbourg hosts Stade Rennais at the Meinau stadium, at 15:15, in the last round of Ligue 1. The two clubs are less than ten points away from the European qualification zone, and the match can change the order of the top ten

What's at Stake

With 43 points, Strasbourg occupies eighth place, still one win away from the G-6. Meanwhile, Rennes, with 50 points, is firmly in sixth place, but tries to increase the advantage over Monaco (49 points) and secure a spot in the continental competitions. The confrontation has extra weight because both teams still have games ahead, and each point can define who will go to the group stage of the Europa League

Win Probability

RC Strasbourg41.8%RC Strasbourg
=
34.0%Draw
Stade Rennais24.2%Stade Rennais

Simulação Monte Carlo

10.000 jogos simulados com distribuição de Poisson + xG real

Ajuste o cenário

RC StrasbourgNeutro
DefOfe
Stade RennaisNeutro
DefOfe

Ajuste os controles acima e clique em simular para ver a distribuição de resultados.

Road to the Match

Strasbourg arrives on a high after four wins in the last five matches, including comfortable victories over Nice (3-1) and Nantes (3-2). The only recent defeat was 2-0 against Mainz, but the overall record shows an attack in high gear. Rennes, on the other hand, has three wins, one draw, and one loss in the last five games, highlighting the 4-0 thrashing of Nice and the goalless draw against Metz. The sequence shows a balanced team, but with less defensive regularity

Recent Form

RC Strasbourg

WLWWD
W4-0vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
L2-0vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
W3-1vs Nice
W2-3vs Nantes
D1-1vs HNK Rijeka
Rate: 67%GF: 11GA: 6

Stade Rennais

WWDLW
W2-1vs Angers
W3-4vs Stade Brestois
D0-0vs Metz
L1-2vs Lille
W0-4vs Nice
Rate: 67%GF: 11GA: 6

Tactical Analysis

The numbers give a slight advantage to the home team, with 41.8% chance of victory, while the draw has a 34% probability. Rennes appears as the underdog, with 24.2% chance of triumph. Strasbourg usually imposes high pressure and has taken advantage of set pieces, an aspect that can be decisive against Rennes' defense, which has conceded goals in high-movement games. If the visitor maintains the tactical discipline seen against Lille, they may surprise

Season Averages

RC StrasbourgStade Rennais

Match overview

55.30Ball possession53.91
3.10Big chances2.45
4.40Corner kicks6.09
1.50Expected goals1.57
11.25Fouls12.27
1.80Yellow cards1.85

Shots

4.35Shots on target5.14
11.45Total shots14.00

Standings

PosTeamJVEDGPGCSGPts
1Paris Saint-Germain27203461233863
2RC Lens29202757292862
3Lille30166849341554
4Olympique de Marseille301641058401852
5Olympique Lyonnais29156843291451
6Stade Rennais2914874941850
7AS Monaco29154105043749
8RC Strasbourg28127946341243
9Lorient30101194044-441
10Toulouse30107134142-137
11Stade Brestois28106123743-636
12Paris FC29811103745-835
13Angers3097142640-1434
14Le Havre30612122538-1330
15Nice3078153456-2229
16Auxerre2959152337-1424
17Nantes2847172445-2119
18Metz2936202663-3715

Head to Head

0 wins RC Strasbourg · 0 draws · 1 wins Stade Rennais

DateHomeScoreAwayStadium
11/2/2025Stade Rennais4-1RC Strasbourg-

Goals by Minute Range

RC StrasbourgStade Rennais
3
1-15
5
8
16-30
14
9
31-45
5
8
46-60
9
7
61-75
6
11
76-90
10

Match Outlook

If Strasbourg turns its offensive sequence into points, it can move up to seventh place and shorten the distance to the G-6. For Rennes, maintaining sixth place will guarantee a European spot without depending on external results. The match promises to be disputed, but the balance of probabilities indicates that the home advantage still weighs, and a draw would still be enough for the visitor to preserve their position. The Sunday duel can, thus, define who finishes the season among the top eight

Top Scorers

RC Strasbourg

Joaquin Panichelli16
Martial Godo8
Emmanuel Emegha4
Diego Moreira3
Sebastian Nanasi3

Stade Rennais

Esteban Lepaul15
Breel Embolo7
Ludovic Blas5
Mousa Tamari4
Mohamed Kader Meite3
RC Strasbourg 03:15 PM Stade Rennais | Data F.C.