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Ligue 1 · Round 30

VS
Sun, 04/19 · 03:15 PM
Sunday, April 19, 202603:15 PM

Metz tries to escape the relegation zone against Paris FC in search of a vital point

High-pressure game in the final stretch of the 30th round of Ligue 1 can change the momentum of both clubs

Next Sunday, at 15:15, Metz hosts Paris FC at Stade Saint-Symphorien. With the tight table and the threat of relegation on the horizon, the match takes on decisive contours for the home team, while the visitor seeks to consolidate the positive sequence that has kept them out of danger zones.

What's at Stake

The 30th round of Ligue 1 puts Metz in a delicate situation: still without a win in the last five matches, the club remains close to the relegation zone. Meanwhile, Paris FC, although still far from the European qualification zone, has taken advantage of the good phase to establish itself in the middle of the table. The numbers point to a balanced duel, with the home team's victory estimated at 36.8% and the visitor's chance at 36.6%, while the draw has a 26.6% probability.

Win Probability

Metz36.8%Metz
=
26.6%Draw
Paris FC36.6%Paris FC

Simulação Monte Carlo

10.000 jogos simulados com distribuição de Poisson + xG real

Ajuste o cenário

MetzNeutro
DefOfe
Paris FCNeutro
DefOfe

Ajuste os controles acima e clique em simular para ver a distribuição de resultados.

Road to the Match

Metz arrives at the confrontation without any triumph in the last five games, recording three defeats and two draws, including a 3-4 loss to Toulouse. The defense has conceded goals, but the goalless draw against Nantes and Stade Rennais shows some resistance. On the other hand, Paris FC comes from two notable victories, such as the 4-1 win over AS Monaco, in addition to three draws, remaining without suffering many thrashings. This combination of offensive confidence and defensive solidity gives the visitor an momentum that can be decisive.

Recent Form

Metz

LDDLL
L3-1vs Olympique de Marseille
D0-0vs Nantes
D0-0vs Stade Rennais
L3-4vs Toulouse
L3-0vs RC Lens
Rate: 13%GF: 4GA: 10

Paris FC

WDWDD
W4-1vs AS Monaco
D1-1vs Lorient
W3-2vs Le Havre
D0-0vs RC Strasbourg
D1-1vs Olympique Lyonnais
Rate: 60%GF: 9GA: 5

Tactical Analysis

Technically, Metz tends to seek defensive compactness and exploit counter-attacks, especially in moments when Paris FC presses forward. The statistical model indicates that the game should be quite open, with the probability of victory practically divided between the two teams. The midfield will be the battlefield: if Metz manages to hinder the visitor's playmaking, the chances of taking a point increase; otherwise, Paris FC's offensive rhythm can turn the confrontation into a goal-scoring duel.

Season Averages

MetzParis FC

Match overview

49.27Ball possession49.64
1.32Big chances2.00
4.05Corner kicks4.14
1.02Expected goals1.17
11.55Fouls10.59
2.00Yellow cards2.32

Shots

3.50Shots on target3.32
10.23Total shots10.59

Standings

PosTeamJVEDGPGCSGPts
1Paris Saint-Germain27203461233863
2RC Lens29202757292862
3Lille30166849341554
4Olympique de Marseille301641058401852
5Olympique Lyonnais29156843291451
6Stade Rennais2914874941850
7AS Monaco29154105043749
8RC Strasbourg28127946341243
9Lorient30101194044-441
10Toulouse30107134142-137
11Stade Brestois28106123743-636
12Paris FC29811103745-835
13Angers3097142640-1434
14Le Havre30612122538-1330
15Nice3078153456-2229
16Auxerre2959152337-1424
17Nantes2847172445-2119
18Metz2936202663-3715

Head to Head

0 wins Metz · 0 draws · 1 wins Paris FC

DateHomeScoreAwayStadium
8/31/2025Paris FC3-2Metz-

Goals by Minute Range

MetzParis FC
3
1-15
6
4
16-30
7
4
31-45
5
3
46-60
4
2
61-75
5
10
76-90
10

Match Outlook

With the match scheduled for Sunday afternoon, the atmosphere in the stadium promises to be tense. For Metz, every point is crucial to move away from the relegation zone, while Paris FC wants to turn the good phase into an impulse to advance in the table. The result can define not only the morale of the two clubs but also influence strategic decisions in the final rounds of the season. Regardless of the score, the match has everything to be one of the decisive moments of the journey.

Top Scorers

Metz

Gauthier Hein6
Habib Diallo4
Georgiy Tsitaishvili3
Nathan Mbala2
Koffi Kouao2

Paris FC

Ilan Kebbal8
Marshall Munetsi4
Moses Simon3
Willem Geubbels3
Jonathan Ikoné3

Unavailable / Suspended

Metz

Koffi Kouao

Reason: 3 yellows

Suspended against: Paris FC

Paris FC

Metz 03:15 PM Paris FC | Data F.C.