Brasileirão Série B · Round 5
Botafogo-SP seeks to rise to G4 of Série B against Atlético Goianiense at home
Home team has 42% chance of winning, while visitor tries to move away from relegation zone after two recent wins
This Saturday, at 7pm, the Botafogo-SP receives the Atlético Goianiense at the Estádio Santa Cruz, for the fifth round of the Brasileirão Série B. With 6 points, the team from Ribeirão Preto tries to get closer to the qualifying zone, while the team from Goiás tries to establish itself among the first in the table.
What's at Stake
The match has double weight in the table: Botafogo-SP is three points away from G4, while Atlético Goianiense has not yet left the intermediate zone, but has already accumulated 6 points, the same score as the visitor. A win could put the team from Ribeirão Preto inside the top-8, while Goianiense aims to consolidate its position among the first, moving away from the risk of falls.
Win Probability
42.4%Botafogo-SP
38.0%Atlético GoianienseSimulação Monte Carlo
10.000 jogos simulados com distribuição de Poisson + xG real
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Road to the Match
The Botafogo-SP arrives at the confrontation with two wins in the last five games, but also with three defeats, including the 1-0 loss to Criciúma and the 2-1 loss to São Bernardo. The Atlético Goianiense has a more balanced record: two wins, two losses and a draw, with highlights for the wins against Londrina (2-1) and Cuiabá (1-0). Both clubs show defensive fragility, but Goianiense has lost by smaller margins.
Recent Form
Botafogo-SP
Atlético Goianiense
Tactical Analysis
The numbers point to a slight advantage for the home team, with 42.4% chance of winning, while the probability of a draw is 19.6% and the visitor's triumph is 38.0%. The Botafogo-SP should bet on the strength of the attack, which has already shown explosion in the 4-0 win over Fortaleza. Meanwhile, Atlético Goianiense may seek the defensive discipline that earned them a goalless draw against Tocantinópolis, trying to neutralize the opponent's counterattacks.
Season Averages
Match overview
Shots
Standings
| Pos | Team | J | V | E | D | GP | GC | SG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avaí | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 2 | Ceará | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Athletic Club | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Vila Nova FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Operário-PR | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Goiás | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Criciúma | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Fortaleza | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Botafogo-SP | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 | Náutico | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Sport Recife | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | Grêmio Novorizontino | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| 13 | Londrina | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | São Bernardo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 | Juventude | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 16 | Atlético Goianiense | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Cuiabá | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | CRB | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | América Mineiro | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 |
Head to Head
0 wins Botafogo-SP · 0 draws · 1 wins Atlético Goianiense
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Stadium |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/10/2025 | Atlético Goianiense | 2-0 | Botafogo-SP | - |
Goals by Minute Range
Match Outlook
With the crowd present and the need to score, the duel promises to be intense, but without the pressure of a direct decision for classification. If Botafogo-SP can convert its offensive superiority, it can quickly rise in the table. On the other hand, a positive result for Atlético Goianiense can reinforce its credibility and move away from the fear of falling into the relegation zone too early.
Top Scorers
Botafogo-SP
Atlético Goianiense