Data F.C.data F.C.
Brasileirão Série B · Round 38
Moisés Lucarelli · Campinas · 19,728 seats
Ponte Preta21%Draw 23%56%Operário-PR
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Operário-PR visits Ponte Preta at Moisés Lucarelli in the Série B farewell

In Campinas, Fantasma tries to confirm favoritism to close the season, while Macaca seeks reaction after a winless streak.

The Série B of the Brazilian Championship reaches its 38th and final round on Thursday, at 19h, when Ponte Preta hosts Operário-PR at the Moisés Lucarelli stadium. The match marks the end of the competition for the two teams, which take to the field seeking to finish their trajectory in the tournament with a positive result in Campinas.

What's at Stake

The Paraná team occupies tenth place in the standings, totaling 54 points won throughout 37 matches played. Before its crowd in the interior of São Paulo, the Campinas team takes to the field with the intention of ending the campaign by adding points at home, while the visitors try to secure their stay in the first half of the table in this farewell.

Win Probability

Ponte Preta20.7%Ponte Preta
=
23.4%Draw
Operário-PR55.8%Operário-PR

Automatically updated with the latest results. Probabilities may change as teams play.

Monte Carlo Simulation

10,000 matches simulated with Poisson distribution + real xG

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Operário-PRNeutral
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Managers

Manager

Gilson Kleina

Ponte Preta

W-D-L: 1-2-11Win rate: 7%
Favourite formation: 3-3-3Avg first sub: 54.7′Subs per game: 4.2

Manager

Alberto Valentim

Operário-PR

W-D-L: 2-0-4Win rate: 33%
Favourite formation: 3-5-0Avg first sub: 48′Subs per game: 5

Probable lineups

Probable

Projected from the last 5 matches. Dots indicate starter frequency; suspended players are shown faded.

Who arrives hotter

6.72Avg rating
Últimas notas: 6 · 7.6 · 7.1 · 7.2 · 7.2In form: Gabriel Caran
6.79Avg rating
Últimas notas: 7.5 · 8.2 · 8.1 · 7.2 · 6.1In form: Elias Martello

Ponte Preta

Manager: Gilson Kleina

5-3-2

Starters

Goalkeeper

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Bench

Operário-PR

Manager: Alberto Valentim

Starters

Goalkeeper

Defenders

Midfielders

Bench

Road to the Match

Fantasma arrives boosted by a recent 3-2 win against Sport Recife, accumulating a record of two wins and three losses in their last five appearances. Meanwhile, Macaca is going through a more delicate moment in the final stretch of the season, unable to win in their last five matches, a period in which they recorded two draws and three losses, coming from a 1-0 defeat to Goiás.

Recent Form

Ponte Preta

LLDDL
L0-1vs Goiás
L0-2vs Criciúma
D2-2vs Fortaleza
D1-1vs Atlético Goianiense
L1-5vs Grêmio Novorizontino
Rate: 13%GF: 4GA: 11

Operário-PR

WLWLL
W3-2vs Sport Recife
L1-2vs Grêmio Novorizontino
W1-0vs Athletic Club
L0-1vs América Mineiro
L0-2vs Goiás
Rate: 40%GF: 5GA: 7

Recent results

Ponte PretaOperário-PR

Venue performance

Ponte Preta

Home games
1W5D8L14 games

19%

Win rate

0.7

Goals scored/game

1.6

Goals conceded/game

Operário-PR

Away games
5W3D6L14 games

43%

Win rate

1.4

Goals scored/game

1.4

Goals conceded/game

Tactical Analysis

The statistical projections for the match indicate an advantage for the visiting team, which stands out with a 54.4% probability of winning even when playing away from home. The scenario for the home team indicates a 22.7% chance of securing the win in Campinas, a margin very close to the possibility of a tie on the scoreboard at the final whistle, evaluated at 22.8% by the models.

Averages (last 6 months)

Ponte PretaOperário-PR

Overview

37.7Ball possession (%)50.9
1.4Big chances1.7
3.6Corner kicks4.9
0.8Expected goals1.4
15.6Fouls15.1
3.1Yellow cards2.6

Overview

0.7Expected goals1.0
2.9Shots on target4.0
9.7Total shots14.4

Season stats — radar

Ponte PretaOperário-PR

Standings

PosTeamJVEDGPGCSGPts
1Grêmio Novorizontino372010766323470
2Juventude371911749262368
3Vila Nova FC37199953381566
4Criciúma37188113831762
5Fortaleza371614744331162
6CRB37177135751658
7Goiás37177133941-258
8Atlético Goianiense371513945351058
9Sport Recife371413105042855
10Operário-PR37159134950-154
11São Bernardo3714101352421052
12Botafogo-SP37149144539651
13Cuiabá371114123432247
14Athletic Club371114124444047
15Náutico371210154049-946
16Ceará371110163847-943
17Avaí37117193547-1240
18Londrina3788214558-1332
19América Mineiro3785242755-2829
20Ponte Preta3736282179-5815

W/D/L (last 6 months)

Ponte Preta

V 1E 5D 23

Operário-PR

V 12E 6D 11

Head to Head

2 wins Ponte Preta · 3 draws · 5 wins Operário-PR

DateHomeScoreAwayStadium
Operário-PR3-2Ponte PretaEstádio Germano Krüger
Ponte Preta0-1Operário-PR-
Operário-PR1-1Ponte Preta-
Ponte Preta3-0Operário-PR-
Operário-PR2-0Ponte Preta-
Operário-PR1-2Ponte Preta-
Ponte Preta0-0Operário-PR-
Operário-PR1-0Ponte Preta-
Ponte Preta1-1Operário-PR-
Operário-PR2-1Ponte Preta-

H2H goals history

Ponte PretaOperário-PR

Goals by Minute Range

Ponte PretaOperário-PR

Average goals per half

1st half2nd half

Match Outlook

With distinct campaigns in this final stretch of the championship, the duel at Moisés Lucarelli pits teams with clear objectives for the last ninety minutes of the year. The Paraná club bets on the momentum of the previous win to overcome the hosts, while the home team tries to break the recent drought to give the fans a consistent performance in the farewell.

Top Scorers

Last 6 months

Ponte Preta

Brandão⚽ 5
David da Hora⚽ 2
Elvis⚽ 2
Daniel Baianinho⚽ 1
Danilo Peu⚽ 1

Operário-PR

Gabriel Boschilia⚽ 10
Caio Dantas⚽ 5
Vinicius Diniz⚽ 5
Hildeberto Pereira⚽ 4
Moraes Júnior⚽ 3

Unavailable / Suspended

Based on current data. May change before match day.

Ponte Preta

—

Operário-PR

Moraes Júnior

Reason: 3 yellows

Suspended against: Ponte Preta

José Cuenú

Reason: Red card

Suspended against: Ponte Preta

Gabriel Feliciano

Reason: 3 yellows

Suspended against: Ponte Preta