Carlos Espí
Reason: 3 yellows
Suspended against: Sevilla
LaLiga · Round 33
Levante UD tries to escape the relegation zone against a Sevilla seeking recovery
Home team has 51% chance of winning, while the visitor tries to consolidate positive sequence
On Thursday, at 5 pm, the Estádio Ciutat de València hosts Levante UD and Sevilla for the 33rd round of LaLiga. The duel has direct implications in the fight to avoid relegation, while the Andalusian team seeks to confirm its recent good form.
What's at Stake
With 31 matches played, the table still reserves space for important changes in the last confrontations. Levante occupies the relegation zone, while Sevilla is out of the risk zone, but still far from the European competition qualification zone. A win for Levante can mean three crucial points to get out of the danger zone, while a defeat can make the fight for permanence even more arduous.
51.4%Levante UD
28.8%Sevilla10.000 jogos simulados com distribuição de Poisson + xG real
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Road to the Match
Levante arrived at the confrontation boosted by two wins, the last against Getafe (1-0), but also with two recent draws, including one against Girona (1-1). The record shows certain defensive solidity, although the offense still seeks regularity. Sevilla, on the other hand, has a more unstable history: it won against Atlético de Madrid (2-1), but suffered three draws and a defeat in the last four games, including a setback against Barcelona (2-5). Despite the oscillations, the Spanish team has shown the ability to react, especially against high-level opponents.
Levante UD
Sevilla
Tactical Analysis
Tactically, Levante usually bets on defensive discipline and quick counterattacks, a strategy that can benefit from the support of the local crowd. The numbers indicate a slight advantage to the home team, with 51.4% probability of winning, indicating that a well-executed plan can yield the desired result. Sevilla, on the other hand, tends to control possession and press high, but needs to improve efficiency in front of goal, since it has only 28.8% chance of triumph according to the statistical model. The draw, with almost 20% probability, remains as a plausible scenario if both teams maintain the balance.
| Pos | Team | J | V | E | D | GP | GC | SG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 31 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 84 | 30 | 54 | 79 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 65 | 29 | 36 | 70 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 31 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 56 | 36 | 20 | 61 |
| 4 | Atlético Madrid | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 57 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 46 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 44 |
| 7 | Real Sociedad | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 42 |
| 8 | Getafe | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 41 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 39 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 38 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 38 |
| 12 | Girona FC | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 38 |
| 13 | Valencia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 35 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 35 |
| 15 | Mallorca | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 34 |
| 16 | Sevilla | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 34 |
| 17 | Deportivo Alavés | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 33 |
| 18 | Elche | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 32 |
| 19 | Levante UD | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 29 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 24 | 48 | -24 | 27 |
1 wins Levante UD · 0 draws · 0 wins Sevilla
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Stadium |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/4/2026 | Sevilla | 0-3 | Levante UD | - |
Match Outlook
If Levante can turn its statistical advantage into goals, the match can become a turning point in its campaign, moving the club away from the relegation zone. For Sevilla, a positive result would be the continuation of the recovery started with the win over Atlético, reinforcing confidence before the final stretch of the season. Regardless of the score, the confrontation promises to be decisive for the ambitions of each team, reflecting the typical intensity of the 33rd round of LaLiga.
Levante UD
Sevilla
Levante UD
Carlos Espí
Reason: 3 yellows
Suspended against: Sevilla
Sevilla
Juanlu Sánchez
Reason: Red card + yellows
Suspended against: Levante UD