Data F.C.data F.C.
Back to matches

LaLiga · Round 33

VS
Thu, 04/23 · 05:00 PM
Thursday, April 23, 202605:00 PM

Levante UD tries to escape the relegation zone against a Sevilla seeking recovery

Home team has 51% chance of winning, while the visitor tries to consolidate positive sequence

On Thursday, at 5 pm, the Estádio Ciutat de València hosts Levante UD and Sevilla for the 33rd round of LaLiga. The duel has direct implications in the fight to avoid relegation, while the Andalusian team seeks to confirm its recent good form.

What's at Stake

With 31 matches played, the table still reserves space for important changes in the last confrontations. Levante occupies the relegation zone, while Sevilla is out of the risk zone, but still far from the European competition qualification zone. A win for Levante can mean three crucial points to get out of the danger zone, while a defeat can make the fight for permanence even more arduous.

Win Probability

Levante UD51.4%Levante UD
=
19.8%Draw
Sevilla28.8%Sevilla

Simulação Monte Carlo

10.000 jogos simulados com distribuição de Poisson + xG real

Ajuste o cenário

Levante UDNeutro
DefOfe
SevillaNeutro
DefOfe

Ajuste os controles acima e clique em simular para ver a distribuição de resultados.

Road to the Match

Levante arrived at the confrontation boosted by two wins, the last against Getafe (1-0), but also with two recent draws, including one against Girona (1-1). The record shows certain defensive solidity, although the offense still seeks regularity. Sevilla, on the other hand, has a more unstable history: it won against Atlético de Madrid (2-1), but suffered three draws and a defeat in the last four games, including a setback against Barcelona (2-5). Despite the oscillations, the Spanish team has shown the ability to react, especially against high-level opponents.

Recent Form

Levante UD

WLWDD
W1-0vs Getafe
L2-0vs Real Sociedad
W4-2vs Real Oviedo
D1-1vs Rayo Vallecano
D1-1vs Girona FC
Rate: 53%GF: 7GA: 6

Sevilla

WLLLD
W2-1vs Atlético Madrid
L1-0vs Real Oviedo
L0-2vs Valencia
L5-2vs Barcelona
D1-1vs Rayo Vallecano
Rate: 27%GF: 5GA: 10

Tactical Analysis

Tactically, Levante usually bets on defensive discipline and quick counterattacks, a strategy that can benefit from the support of the local crowd. The numbers indicate a slight advantage to the home team, with 51.4% probability of winning, indicating that a well-executed plan can yield the desired result. Sevilla, on the other hand, tends to control possession and press high, but needs to improve efficiency in front of goal, since it has only 28.8% chance of triumph according to the statistical model. The draw, with almost 20% probability, remains as a plausible scenario if both teams maintain the balance.

Season Averages

Levante UDSevilla

Match overview

43.39Ball possession52.09
2.18Big chances1.55
4.52Corner kicks5.43
1.20Expected goals1.08
11.83Fouls14.09
2.26Yellow cards2.70

Shots

3.52Shots on target3.65
12.52Total shots11.30

Standings

PosTeamJVEDGPGCSGPts
1Barcelona31261484305479
2Real Madrid31224565293670
3Villarreal31194856362061
4Atlético Madrid31176851321957
5Real Betis31111374538746
6Celta Vigo31111194440444
7Real Sociedad31119114948142
8Getafe31125142732-541
9Osasuna31109123738-139
10Athletic Club31115153345-1238
11Espanyol31108133748-1138
12Girona FC31911113345-1238
13Valencia3198143446-1235
14Rayo Vallecano31811122938-935
15Mallorca3197153948-934
16Sevilla3197153951-1234
17Deportivo Alavés3189143546-1133
18Elche31711133947-832
19Levante UD3178163550-1529
20Real Oviedo3169162448-2427

Head to Head

1 wins Levante UD · 0 draws · 0 wins Sevilla

DateHomeScoreAwayStadium
1/4/2026Sevilla0-3Levante UD-

Goals by Minute Range

Levante UDSevilla
4
1-15
5
5
16-30
5
4
31-45
7
6
46-60
7
5
61-75
5
11
76-90
10

Match Outlook

If Levante can turn its statistical advantage into goals, the match can become a turning point in its campaign, moving the club away from the relegation zone. For Sevilla, a positive result would be the continuation of the recovery started with the win over Atlético, reinforcing confidence before the final stretch of the season. Regardless of the score, the confrontation promises to be decisive for the ambitions of each team, reflecting the typical intensity of the 33rd round of LaLiga.

Top Scorers

Levante UD

Carlos Espí8
Etta Eyong5
Iván Romero5
Iker Losada3
Carlos Álvarez3

Sevilla

Akor Adams8
Djibril Sow5
Isaac Romero4
Alexis Sánchez3
Ruben Vargas3

Unavailable / Suspended

Levante UD

Carlos Espí

Reason: 3 yellows

Suspended against: Sevilla

Sevilla

Juanlu Sánchez

Reason: Red card + yellows

Suspended against: Levante UD

Levante UD 05:00 PM Sevilla | Data F.C.