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Copa Betano do Brasil · Round 5

VS
Thu, 04/23 · 12:30 AM
Thursday, April 23, 202612:30 AM

Flamengo seeks to consolidate advantage in Copa Betano while Vitória fights for points outside the relegation zone

With five consecutive wins, the red-black team faces a Vitória that tries to improve the campaign after an irregular start

On April 23, at 00:30, the Maracanã will be the stage for the match of the fifth round of the Copa Betano do Brasil. Flamengo receives Vitória in search of extending the winning streak, while the Bahian team tries to escape the stumble that left it on the margin of the classification zone.

What's at Stake

The competition advances to the fifth round and Flamengo already has four wins, which puts it among the top teams in the table. The extra point can be decisive to guarantee a comfortable position in the next phases. Vitória, on the other hand, has accumulated only one point in the last five games, which leaves it vulnerable to a further drop in the standings. Each point will be crucial to change the team's landscape.

Win Probability

Flamengo55.4%Flamengo
=
24.4%Draw
Vitória20.2%Vitória

Simulação Monte Carlo

10.000 jogos simulados com distribuição de Poisson + xG real

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FlamengoNeutro
DefOfe
VitóriaNeutro
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Ajuste os controles acima e clique em simular para ver a distribuição de resultados.

Road to the Match

The recent record favors the host: four wins and one draw, with highlights for the 4-1 rout over Independiente Medellín and the narrow 2-1 win against Fluminense. The visitor, on the other hand, has a mixed record – two defeats (0-0 against Corinthians and 1-1 against Chapecoense) and three wins, including a 3-1 win over Piauí EC. Although it won the last confrontation against Chapecoense, the team has not yet found regularity.

Recent Form

Flamengo

WWWWW
W2-0vs Bahia
W4-1vs Independiente Medellín
W1-2vs Fluminense
W0-2vs Cusco FC
W3-1vs Santos
Rate: 100%GF: 13GA: 3

Vitória

DWWWD
D0-0vs Corinthians
W3-1vs Piauí EC
W2-0vs São Paulo
W4-1vs Juazeirense
D1-1vs Chapecoense
Rate: 73%GF: 10GA: 3

Tactical Analysis

The statistics point to a slight advantage for Flamengo, which has a 49.4% chance of winning, while the draw appears with 28.2% and the visitor's win, 22.4%. This difference suggests that the Red-Black should impose its rhythm, taking advantage of the defensive solidity demonstrated in the last games. Vitória, however, can take advantage of its ability to respond offensively, as shown by scoring four goals against Juazeirense. An open game, with chances for both sides, seems to be the most likely scenario.

Head to Head

2 wins Flamengo · 0 draws · 0 wins Vitória

DateHomeScoreAwayStadium
2/11/2026Vitória1-2Flamengo-
8/26/2025Flamengo8-0Vitória-

Match Outlook

With the Maracanã packed and the crowd excited, the climate indicates a tense match, but without excesses. Flamengo has the opportunity to turn its good phase into a milestone in the competition, while Vitória tries to reverse the series of unfavorable results. If the host consolidates the advantage, it will be another step towards the title; if the visitor surprises, it can change the course of the table and bring new breath to its campaign. The duel promises to be decisive for the ambitions of both.

Flamengo 12:30 AM Vitória | Data F.C.