Brasileirão Série B · Round 6
Cuiabá Tries to Escape Relegation Zone While Botafogo-SP Pursues Top Spot
Wednesday's Game at Arena Pantanal Has Almost Even Odds and Can Change the Série B Landscape
The match between Cuiabá and Botafogo-SP will be played on Wednesday at 00:30 at Arena Pantanal, in the sixth round of the Brasileirão Série B. With 38.4% chance of victory for the home team, the duel promises to shuffle the positions in the table.
What's at Stake
In the standings, Cuiabá has yet to secure a spot outside the relegation zone, while Botafogo-SP occupies sixth place with seven points, three behind the leader. A win could consolidate the first club's pursuit of stability, while a draw would maintain pressure on the Cuiabá team, which is still fighting to leave the risk of relegation behind.
Win Probability
38.4%Cuiabá
31.2%Botafogo-SPSimulação Monte Carlo
10.000 jogos simulados com distribuição de Poisson + xG real
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Road to the Match
In their last five matches, Cuiabá has accumulated only one win, two draws, and two losses, highlighting the 2-0 defeat to Goiás and the loss to Ceará. Botafogo-SP, on the other hand, has two recent wins – against América Mineiro and Fortaleza – but also three losses, including the 1-2 defeat to São Bernardo. The sequence shows that both sides are still seeking consistency.
Recent Form
Cuiabá
Botafogo-SP
Tactical Analysis
With numbers indicating 38.4% chance of victory for the home team and 31.2% for the visitors, the match is expected to be highly balanced. Cuiabá has shown defensive vulnerability, conceding goals in the last two games, which may create space for Botafogo-SP to exploit the flanks. At the same time, the home team has the support of the crowd and the need to score, which may lead to a more offensive posture in the first minutes.
Season Averages
Match overview
Shots
Standings
| Pos | Team | J | V | E | D | GP | GC | SG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 3 | Ceará | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Grêmio Novorizontino | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Avaí | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Athletic Club | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Operário-PR | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Botafogo-SP | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | São Bernardo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Criciúma | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Juventude | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Goiás | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Sport Recife | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 14 | Náutico | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 | Cuiabá | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Londrina | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 5 |
| 17 | Atlético Goianiense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 | Ponte Preta | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | CRB | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 | América Mineiro | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2 |
Head to Head
0 wins Cuiabá · 1 draws · 0 wins Botafogo-SP
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Stadium |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/19/2025 | Botafogo-SP | 2-2 | Cuiabá | - |
Goals by Minute Range
Match Outlook
If Cuiabá can turn the advantage of playing at home into points, they may gain breathing room to escape the relegation zone. Meanwhile, Botafogo-SP has the opportunity to climb even higher in the table, approaching the dispute for the top spots. With 30.4% probability of a draw, the outcome is still open, and the match promises to define who advances with more tranquility in the next rounds.
Top Scorers
Cuiabá
Botafogo-SP