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Premier League · Round 34

VS
Wed, 04/22 · 07:00 PM
Wednesday, April 22, 202607:00 PM

Burnley tries to escape the relegation zone against leader Manchester City in the 34th round

With 30.8% chance of victory, the home team seeks a vital point while City aims for isolated leadership

Next Saturday, at 7 pm, Turf Moor will host Burnley and Manchester City in a direct Premier League showdown. The duel has distinct implications: the home team is fighting to get out of the relegation zone, while the visitor is trying to increase the advantage at the top of the table.

What's at Stake

The match arrives in the 34th round with Arsenal still ahead, but Manchester City occupies the second position, with 64 points, three behind the leader. A win in Burnley would elevate the club to 67 points, bringing the title dispute even closer. On the other hand, Burnley, with 26 points, still feels the weight of the relegation zone; one point can be decisive in keeping the hope of escaping alive in the last games.

Win Probability

Burnley30.8%Burnley
=
28.2%Draw
Manchester City41.0%Manchester City

Simulação Monte Carlo

10.000 jogos simulados com distribuição de Poisson + xG real

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BurnleyNeutro
DefOfe
Manchester CityNeutro
DefOfe

Ajuste os controles acima e clique em simular para ver a distribuição de resultados.

Road to the Match

The recent form puts the two protagonists in opposite situations. Burnley has four defeats and one draw in the last five matches, without scoring a single goal, which highlights offensive difficulties and defensive fragility. In contrast, Manchester City comes from three comfortable wins (3-0 over Chelsea, 4-0 against Liverpool, and 2-0 over Arsenal) and only one draw and one defeat against Real Madrid, showing firepower and consistency.

Recent Form

Burnley

LLLDL
L4-1vs Nottingham Forest
L0-2vs Brighton & Hove Albion
L3-1vs Fulham
D0-0vs Bournemouth
L2-0vs Everton
Rate: 7%GF: 2GA: 11

Manchester City

WWWWL
W2-1vs Arsenal
W0-3vs Chelsea
W4-0vs Liverpool
W0-2vs Arsenal
L1-2vs Real Madrid
Rate: 80%GF: 12GA: 3

Tactical Analysis

The numbers indicate a slight advantage for the visitor, with 41% chance of victory, while Turf Moor has a 30.8% probability of surprising. Burnley will need to improve defensive compactness to contain the metropolitan attack, which has been efficient in recent games. Manchester City, in turn, should exploit the speed on the flanks and creativity in the midfield, seeking to open spaces in the defense that has conceded few goals but is still vulnerable in set pieces.

Season Averages

BurnleyManchester City

Match overview

43.50Ball possession60.84
1.62Big chances3.28
3.92Corner kicks6.44
0.90Expected goals1.87
10.00Fouls10.44
1.80Yellow cards1.96

Shots

3.15Shots on target5.52
9.42Total shots15.56

Standings

PosTeamJVEDGPGCSGPts
1Arsenal33217563263770
2Manchester City32207565293667
3Aston Villa3317794741658
4Manchester United331610758451358
5Liverpool331671054431155
6Chelsea331391153421148
7Brentford33139114844448
8Bournemouth33111575050048
9Everton33138124039147
10Brighton & Hove Albion331211104539647
11Sunderland331210113640-446
12Fulham33136144346-345
13Crystal Palace321110113536-143
14Newcastle United33126154649-342
15Leeds United33912124249-739
16Nottingham Forest3399153645-936
17West Ham United3389164057-1733
18Tottenham Hotspur33710164253-1131
19Burnley3348213467-3320
20Wolverhampton3338222461-3717

Head to Head

0 wins Burnley · 0 draws · 1 wins Manchester City

DateHomeScoreAwayStadium
9/27/2025Manchester City5-1Burnley-

Goals by Minute Range

BurnleyManchester City
2
1-15
8
5
16-30
9
8
31-45
19
5
46-60
8
4
61-75
13
10
76-90
8

Match Outlook

If Burnley manages to hold the score, a draw would already be enough to alleviate the pressure and reduce the distance from the relegation zone. For Manchester City, the win not only consolidates the leadership but also sends a message to the top rivals. With the match scheduled for the weekend, the expectation is for a tense duel, where the quality difference can be mitigated by the urgent need for points from both sides.

Top Scorers

Burnley

Zian Flemming9
Jaidon Anthony7
Lyle Foster3
Lesley Ugochukwu3
Josh Cullen2

Manchester City

Erling Haaland23
Phil Foden7
Nico O'Reilly5
Tijjani Reijnders5
Antoine Semenyo5

Unavailable / Suspended

Burnley

Kyle Walker

Reason: 3 yellows

Suspended against: Manchester City

Florentino Luís

Reason: 3 yellows

Suspended against: Manchester City

Manchester City

Marc Guéhi

Reason: 3 yellows

Suspended against: Burnley

Burnley 07:00 PM Manchester City | Data F.C.