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LaLiga · Round 33

VS
Wed, 04/22 · 06:00 PM
Wednesday, April 22, 202606:00 PM

Real Sociedad seeks to seal top 5 spot against Getafe in pursuit of LaLiga momentum

Home team has 42.8% chance of winning, while visitors attempt to rise from 8th place with only 24.6% probability

On the next Saturday, at 6 pm, the Real Sociedad hosts the Getafe at Anoeta for the 33rd round of LaLiga. The duel may define whether the Basque team returns to the group of the top five or if the Madrid team stays in the European qualification zone.

What's at Stake

With 42 points, the Anoeta team is two points away from the 6th placed Celta Vigo, and still feels the pressure to secure a spot in the continental competitions. Meanwhile, Getafe, with 41 points, attempts to close the week in 8th place and avoid increasing the difference with Osasuna, which is four places below. The confrontation has a direct impact on the fight for European positions, and the numbers indicate a slight favoritism to the home team.

Win Probability

Real Sociedad42.8%Real Sociedad
=
32.6%Draw
Getafe24.6%Getafe

Simulação Monte Carlo

10.000 jogos simulados com distribuição de Poisson + xG real

Ajuste o cenário

Real SociedadNeutro
DefOfe
GetafeNeutro
DefOfe

Ajuste os controles acima e clique em simular para ver a distribuição de resultados.

Road to the Match

The recent form of Real Sociedad has been irregular: two wins, two draws, and one loss in the last five games, including a convincing 2-0 win over Levante and a 1-3 defeat against Villarreal. Getafe, on the other hand, comes from a more positive sequence, with three wins (against Athletic Club, Espanyol, and Real Betis) and two draws, showing defensive solidity by keeping the score closed in three of the last five matches.

Recent Form

Real Sociedad

DWLWL
D3-3vs Deportivo Alavés
W2-0vs Levante UD
L3-1vs Villarreal
W3-1vs Osasuna
L3-2vs Atlético Madrid
Rate: 47%GF: 11GA: 10

Getafe

LWWLW
L1-0vs Levante UD
W2-0vs Athletic Club
W1-2vs Espanyol
L1-0vs Atlético Madrid
W2-0vs Real Betis
Rate: 60%GF: 6GA: 3

Tactical Analysis

The statistical model indicates that the match has a 42.8% chance of a home team win, 32.6% of a draw, and 24.6% of a visitor win. This scenario suggests that Real Sociedad may exploit the support of the crowd to impose its possession style, while Getafe will likely seek the counter-attack, taking advantage of the defensive fragility that has already been shown against Villarreal. A draw seems plausible, but the difference in recent performance may open gaps for whoever knows how to be more incisive in set pieces.

Season Averages

Real SociedadGetafe

Match overview

50.09Ball possession39.17
2.87Big chances1.38
5.43Corner kicks4.52
1.47Expected goals0.83
14.09Fouls15.30
1.96Yellow cards3.09

Shots

4.96Shots on target3.00
12.43Total shots9.74

Standings

PosTeamJVEDGPGCSGPts
1Barcelona31261484305479
2Real Madrid31224565293670
3Villarreal31194856362061
4Atlético Madrid31176851321957
5Real Betis31111374538746
6Celta Vigo31111194440444
7Real Sociedad31119114948142
8Getafe31125142732-541
9Osasuna31109123738-139
10Athletic Club31115153345-1238
11Espanyol31108133748-1138
12Girona FC31911113345-1238
13Valencia3198143446-1235
14Rayo Vallecano31811122938-935
15Mallorca3197153948-934
16Sevilla3197153951-1234
17Deportivo Alavés3189143546-1133
18Elche31711133947-832
19Levante UD3178163550-1529
20Real Oviedo3169162448-2427

Head to Head

1 wins Real Sociedad · 0 draws · 0 wins Getafe

DateHomeScoreAwayStadium
1/9/2026Getafe1-2Real Sociedad-

Goals by Minute Range

Real SociedadGetafe
3
1-15
2
8
16-30
2
10
31-45
7
11
46-60
7
6
61-75
5
11
76-90
4

Match Outlook

If the Anoeta team manages to turn the home advantage into goals, it may advance to the qualification zone and pressure Barcelona and Real Madrid for higher positions. On the other hand, a Getafe that maintains tactical discipline and takes advantage of transition opportunities has the chance to surprise and rise in the table, reducing the margin for direct competitors. The game promises to be decisive for the plans of both teams in the final stretch of the season.

Top Scorers

Real Sociedad

Mikel Oyarzabal12
Gonçalo Guedes8
Brais Méndez6
Orri Steinn Óskarsson5
Carlos Soler4

Getafe

Mauro Arambarri6
Borja Mayoral4
Martín Satriano4
Luis Vázquez3
Adrian Liso3

Unavailable / Suspended

Real Sociedad

Gonçalo Guedes

Reason: 3 yellows

Suspended against: Getafe

Sergio Gómez

Reason: Red card

Suspended against: Getafe

Getafe

Kiko Femenia

Reason: 3 yellows

Suspended against: Real Sociedad

Djene Dakonam

Reason: Red card + yellows

Suspended against: Real Sociedad

Zaid Romero

Reason: Red card + yellows

Suspended against: Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad 06:00 PM Getafe | Data F.C.