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Copa Betano do Brasil · Round 5

VS
Wed, 04/22 · 11:30 PM
Wednesday, April 22, 202611:30 PM

Fortaleza seeks recovery in Copa Betano and tries to leave CRB behind

Home team has 52% chance of winning and needs to react after defeat to Ceará, while visitor comes from a goalless streak

Next Saturday, at 11:30 PM, the Castelão stadium will host Fortaleza for the fifth round of the Copa Betano do Brasil. The match against CRB has everything to define the rhythm of the teams in the competition, which is still in its initial phase.

What's at Stake

The match has strategic weight for both clubs. Fortaleza, which has already accumulated two wins and two draws in the last five matches, seeks to consolidate its position among the top-placed teams. Meanwhile, CRB, with four defeats and only one point won, tries to escape the alert zone and score goals again, something it has not done in the last three games.

Win Probability

Fortaleza53.4%Fortaleza
=
22.0%Draw
CRB24.6%CRB

Simulação Monte Carlo

10.000 jogos simulados com distribuição de Poisson + xG real

Ajuste o cenário

FortalezaNeutro
DefOfe
CRBNeutro
DefOfe

Ajuste os controles acima e clique em simular para ver a distribuição de resultados.

Road to the Match

Fortaleza arrives at the match boosted by victories against São Bernardo (1-0) and Juventude (2-1), but still feels the weight of the 0-2 defeat to rival Ceará. Its last goalless draw against Cuiabá indicates that the defense has been consistent, although the offensive production is not constant. CRB, on the other hand, is going through a delicate phase: it lost to Juventude (0-1), Athletic Club (2-3), and ASA (0-2), and only managed a goalless draw against Grêmio Novorizontino, highlighting difficulties in both creation and finishing.

Recent Form

Fortaleza

WDWLW
W3-2vs Criciúma
D1-1vs América-RN
W0-1vs São Bernardo
L2-0vs Ceará
W2-1vs Juventude
Rate: 67%GF: 7GA: 6

CRB

LDLLD
L0-1vs Juventude
D0-0vs Fluminense-PI
L2-3vs Athletic Club
L2-0vs ASA
D1-1vs Grêmio Novorizontino
Rate: 13%GF: 3GA: 7

Tactical Analysis

The numbers point to a slight favoritism for the home team, with 52.8% chance of winning, while the draw appears as the second option with 24.2%. Fortaleza should exploit the defensive discipline shown against Cuiabá, seeking to open spaces on the sides to create scoring opportunities. CRB, which has not scored in the last matches, will need to rely on quick transitions to surprise the Fortaleza defense, which has been compact in recent matches.

Season Averages

FortalezaCRB

Match overview

47.50Ball possession53.50
2.00Big chances3.00
4.50Corner kicks9.50
1.27Expected goals1.81
19.50Fouls21.00
3.33Yellow cards2.33

Shots

3.50Shots on target3.50
9.00Total shots28.00

Goals by Minute Range

FortalezaCRB
0
1-15
0
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
3
76-90
5

Match Outlook

If Fortaleza can turn its recent good form into goals, it has a good chance of taking the three points and increasing the difference against its competitors. On the other hand, CRB has the opportunity to change the narrative by finding the path to the goal, something that can bring relief to the coach and the fans. Regardless of the result, the duel promises to be a thermometer of the teams' quality in the first half of the Copa Betano.

Top Scorers

Fortaleza

Tomás Cardona1
Luiz Fernando1
Maílton1
Lucca Prior1
Vitinho1

CRB

Luiz Phellype2
Douglas Baggio2
Mikael2
Breno Cézar1
Guilherme Pato1

Unavailable / Suspended

Fortaleza

Maílton

Reason: 3 yellows

Suspended against: CRB

CRB

Fortaleza 11:30 PM CRB | Data F.C.