LaLiga · Round 33
Mallorca seeks to rise in the standings against Valencia in search of a vital point in the 33rd round
Visiting team has a minimal chance of winning, but recent form leaves the match open
Next Sunday, at 5 pm, Mallorca hosts Valencia at Son Moix for the 33rd round of LaLiga. With the classification still far from the continental qualification zone, the confrontation gains weight for both sides.
What's at Stake
The dispute takes place with Mallorca occupying 11th position, just two points behind the last club in the European qualification zone (Athletic Club, 10th). Meanwhile, Valencia, outside the relegation zone, seeks to consolidate the sequence of positive results to not approach the relegation zone. Each point can change the dynamics of the last two rounds.
Win Probability
49.6%Mallorca
21.6%ValenciaSimulação Monte Carlo
10.000 jogos simulados com distribuição de Poisson + xG real
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Road to the Match
Mallorca comes from a vibrant sequence: four wins in five games, including a 2-1 triumph over Real Madrid. The last 2-2 draw against Osasuna showed a slight setback, but confidence remains high. Valencia, on the other hand, has two wins and three draws in the last five matches, highlighting the convincing 2-0 win over Sevilla, but also two defeats that limited its progress.
Recent Form
Mallorca
Valencia
Tactical Analysis
The numbers indicate a slight advantage to the home team, with almost 50% chance of winning, while the draw appears as the second most likely option, around 29%. Valencia has only 22% probability of taking the three points, which indicates that it will need defensive discipline and opportunity exploitation to surprise. Mallorca, which has been effective in counterattacks, should seek to press during possession moments to turn the home advantage into goals.
Season Averages
Match overview
Shots
Standings
| Pos | Team | J | V | E | D | GP | GC | SG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 31 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 84 | 30 | 54 | 79 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 65 | 29 | 36 | 70 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 31 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 56 | 36 | 20 | 61 |
| 4 | Atlético Madrid | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 57 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 46 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 44 |
| 7 | Real Sociedad | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 42 |
| 8 | Getafe | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 41 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 39 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 38 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 38 |
| 12 | Girona FC | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 38 |
| 13 | Valencia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 35 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 35 |
| 15 | Mallorca | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 34 |
| 16 | Sevilla | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 34 |
| 17 | Deportivo Alavés | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 33 |
| 18 | Elche | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 32 |
| 19 | Levante UD | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 29 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 24 | 48 | -24 | 27 |
Head to Head
0 wins Mallorca · 1 draws · 0 wins Valencia
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Stadium |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/19/2025 | Valencia | 1-1 | Mallorca | - |
Goals by Minute Range
Match Outlook
With the match scheduled for the end of the round, the atmosphere at Son Moix should be one of demand and opportunity. Mallorca has the mission to guarantee the point that can distance it from the risk zone, while Valencia tries to improve its win percentage to distance any threat of relegation. The duel, although not between the leaders of the table, carries a strategic meaning that can define the immediate future of both clubs.
Top Scorers
Mallorca
Valencia