Data F.C.data F.C.
Back to matches

Serie A · Round 33

VS
Sun, 04/19 · 10:30 AM
Sunday, April 19, 202610:30 AM

Torino seeks vital point against Cremonese in the fight to escape relegation zone

Home team tries to rediscover the path to victory while visitors attempt to maintain positive streak and avoid drop risk

This Sunday, April 19th, at 10:30 am, Cremonese hosts Torino in the last round of Serie A. With the table tight at the bottom, the duel has more than three points at stake: the visiting team's fans want to secure permanence, while the home team tries to escape immediate danger.

What's at Stake

The match takes place on the 33rd round, when there are still two opportunities to change the classification. Torino, which occupies the 12th position, has 30 points and still needs a positive result to distance itself from the relegation zone. Meanwhile, Cremonese, with 28 points, runs the risk of being dragged down to relegation if it doesn't score at least one point. Market numbers indicate an advantage for the visitor, who has a 48% chance of winning, while the home team has a 33.2% probability of triumph.

Win Probability

Cremonese33.2%Cremonese
=
18.8%Draw
Torino48.0%Torino

Simulação Monte Carlo

10.000 jogos simulados com distribuição de Poisson + xG real

Ajuste o cenário

CremoneseNeutro
DefOfe
TorinoNeutro
DefOfe

Ajuste os controles acima e clique em simular para ver a distribuição de resultados.

Road to the Match

In the last five matches, Cremonese has accumulated only one win, against Parma (2-0), and four defeats, including a 1-4 loss to Fiorentina. The sequence demonstrates offensive fragility and difficulty in holding results. Torino, on the other hand, arrives with three wins – Hellas Verona (2-1), Pisa (1-0), and Parma (4-1) – and two defeats, the last one against Napoli (1-2). The visiting team shows more confidence and has been able to impose its rhythm in recent games.

Recent Form

Cremonese

LLWLL
L1-0vs Cagliari
L1-2vs Bologna
W0-2vs Parma
L1-4vs Fiorentina
L2-1vs Lecce
Rate: 20%GF: 5GA: 9

Torino

WWLWL
W2-1vs Hellas Verona
W0-1vs Pisa
L3-2vs Milan
W4-1vs Parma
L2-1vs Napoli
Rate: 60%GF: 10GA: 7

Tactical Analysis

Cremonese, which has conceded goals in recent matches, may bet on a more cautious posture, trying to exploit quick counterattacks to surprise Torino's defense, which has shown solidity in recent games. However, statistics suggest that the visitor has a higher probability of imposing its style, with almost half of the simulations indicating a win. The risk of a draw (around 19%) is still present, but the trend points to an open game, where Torino has more conditions to materialize its attacking power.

Season Averages

CremoneseTorino

Match overview

46.62Ball possession44.12
1.64Big chances2.04
3.46Corner kicks3.81
1.02Expected goals1.19
14.35Fouls14.04
2.00Yellow cards1.92

Shots

3.27Shots on target4.08
9.73Total shots12.04

Standings

PosTeamJVEDGPGCSGPts
1Inter33253578294978
2Napoli33206748331566
3Milan32189547272063
4Juventus32179655292660
5Roma331841146291758
6Como331610757282958
7Atalanta331412745291654
8Bologna32146124237548
9Lazio331211103430447
10Sassuolo33136144144-345
11Udinese33127143843-543
12Torino32116153754-1739
13Parma33912122440-1639
14Genoa3299143845-736
15Fiorentina32811133744-735
16Cagliari3389163347-1433
17Lecce3276192145-2427
18Cremonese3269172647-2127
19Hellas Verona3239202355-3218
20Pisa32212182358-3518

Head to Head

0 wins Cremonese · 0 draws · 1 wins Torino

DateHomeScoreAwayStadium
12/13/2025Torino1-0Cremonese-

Goals by Minute Range

CremoneseTorino
3
1-15
4
2
16-30
7
4
31-45
5
6
46-60
7
3
61-75
4
8
76-90
10

Match Outlook

If Torino secures the three points, it advances to 10th place, moving away from the danger zone and approaching the Libertadores qualification zone. On the other hand, a defeat for Cremonese can consolidate its permanence in the lower part of the table, requiring a fight in the last two rounds. A draw would leave both teams in a delicate situation, but still with chances of changing their destiny in the final matches. The duel, therefore, has everything to be decisive in defining the goals of each club.

Top Scorers

Cremonese

Federico Bonazzoli7
Jamie Vardy5
Federico Baschirotto2
Filippo Terracciano2
Martín Payero1

Torino

Giovanni Simeone9
Nikola Vlašić7
Che Adams5
Cesare Casadei5
Duván Zapata3

Unavailable / Suspended

Cremonese

Filippo Terracciano

Reason: 3 yellows

Suspended against: Torino

Torino

Cremonese 10:30 AM Torino | Data F.C.