Filippo Terracciano
Reason: 3 yellows
Suspended against: Torino
Serie A · Round 33
Torino seeks vital point against Cremonese in the fight to escape relegation zone
Home team tries to rediscover the path to victory while visitors attempt to maintain positive streak and avoid drop risk
This Sunday, April 19th, at 10:30 am, Cremonese hosts Torino in the last round of Serie A. With the table tight at the bottom, the duel has more than three points at stake: the visiting team's fans want to secure permanence, while the home team tries to escape immediate danger.
What's at Stake
The match takes place on the 33rd round, when there are still two opportunities to change the classification. Torino, which occupies the 12th position, has 30 points and still needs a positive result to distance itself from the relegation zone. Meanwhile, Cremonese, with 28 points, runs the risk of being dragged down to relegation if it doesn't score at least one point. Market numbers indicate an advantage for the visitor, who has a 48% chance of winning, while the home team has a 33.2% probability of triumph.
33.2%Cremonese
48.0%Torino10.000 jogos simulados com distribuição de Poisson + xG real
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Road to the Match
In the last five matches, Cremonese has accumulated only one win, against Parma (2-0), and four defeats, including a 1-4 loss to Fiorentina. The sequence demonstrates offensive fragility and difficulty in holding results. Torino, on the other hand, arrives with three wins – Hellas Verona (2-1), Pisa (1-0), and Parma (4-1) – and two defeats, the last one against Napoli (1-2). The visiting team shows more confidence and has been able to impose its rhythm in recent games.
Cremonese
Torino
Tactical Analysis
Cremonese, which has conceded goals in recent matches, may bet on a more cautious posture, trying to exploit quick counterattacks to surprise Torino's defense, which has shown solidity in recent games. However, statistics suggest that the visitor has a higher probability of imposing its style, with almost half of the simulations indicating a win. The risk of a draw (around 19%) is still present, but the trend points to an open game, where Torino has more conditions to materialize its attacking power.
| Pos | Team | J | V | E | D | GP | GC | SG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 33 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 78 | 29 | 49 | 78 |
| 2 | Napoli | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 66 |
| 3 | Milan | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 63 |
| 4 | Juventus | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 60 |
| 5 | Roma | 33 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 58 |
| 6 | Como | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 58 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 54 |
| 8 | Bologna | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 48 |
| 9 | Lazio | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 47 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 45 |
| 11 | Udinese | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Torino | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 39 |
| 13 | Parma | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 39 |
| 14 | Genoa | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 36 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 35 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
| 17 | Lecce | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 21 | 45 | -24 | 27 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 27 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 23 | 55 | -32 | 18 |
| 20 | Pisa | 32 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 18 |
0 wins Cremonese · 0 draws · 1 wins Torino
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Stadium |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/13/2025 | Torino | 1-0 | Cremonese | - |
Match Outlook
If Torino secures the three points, it advances to 10th place, moving away from the danger zone and approaching the Libertadores qualification zone. On the other hand, a defeat for Cremonese can consolidate its permanence in the lower part of the table, requiring a fight in the last two rounds. A draw would leave both teams in a delicate situation, but still with chances of changing their destiny in the final matches. The duel, therefore, has everything to be decisive in defining the goals of each club.
Cremonese
Torino
Cremonese
Filippo Terracciano
Reason: 3 yellows
Suspended against: Torino
Torino
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