UEFA Champions League, Knockout stage · Round 27

Arsenal

Sporting CP
Arsenal tries to consolidate leadership in knockout stage against Sporting CP in search of decisive advantage
With a 42% chance of victory in the models, the clash could open space for the German rival in the fight for the top of the table
On April 15, at 7 p.m., Arsenal host Sporting CP in a still‑to‑be‑determined venue, in the knockout phase of the UEFA Champions League. The result could change the dynamics of the standings, which still have Bayern Munich only a few points away.
O que está em jogo
The match marks round 27 of the competition and carries extra weight because Arsenal tops the Group with 24 points, three more than Bayern. A win keeps the English side with a comfortable margin to secure first place, while Sporting CP, sitting seventh with 16 points, looks to close the gap and prevent the English rival from pulling too far ahead.
Win Probability
42.0%Arsenal
29.2%Sporting CPComo os times chegam
Arsenal comes in with an inconsistent performance: two wins, three draws and no defeats in the last five games, including a 2‑0 victory over Bayer Leverkusen. Sporting CP, on the other hand, has a positive run, with four wins and a draw, highlighting the 5‑0 thrashing of Bodø/Glimt. Recent form favors the Portuguese side, but the head‑to‑head record still shows a tight tie.
Recent Form
Arsenal
Sporting CP
Análise tática
Technically, Arsenal should exploit the high press it used against Leverkusen, but needs to improve chance conversion, having suffered two draws in recent matches. Sporting CP, for its part, has been attacking efficiently, especially in matchups against Portuguese Primeira Liga teams. The internal model numbers give the home side a 42% chance of victory, 28.8% for a draw and 29.2% for the visitor, indicating the duel is balanced but with a slight edge to the English side.
Season Averages
Match overview
Shots
Standings
| Pos | Team | J | V | E | D | GP | GC | SG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 15 |
| 10 | Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 13 |
| 14 | Atlético Madrid | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 11 |
| 18 | Olympiacos FC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabağ FK | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 23 | Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 9 |
| 24 | Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 9 |
| 26 | Pafos FC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 |
| 30 | Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 1 |
| 36 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 1 |
Head to Head
1 wins Arsenal · 0 draws · 0 wins Sporting CP
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Stadium |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/7/2026 | Sporting CP | 0-1 | Arsenal | - |
Goals by Minute Range
O cenário da partida
If Arsenal can impose its rhythm and turn possession into goals, it can widen the lead in the standings and pressure Bayern even more. Conversely, Sporting CP has the opportunity to surprise, as it has done in recent encounters, and add another point to the table, making the race for the top harder. The result, regardless of the scoreline, will be decisive in determining who leads the group in the coming rounds.
Top Scorers
Arsenal
Sporting CP